Main event
How this works
Live leaderboard
Straight from ESPN's box scores, refreshed every minute while games are on. Ties at the top split the prize.
The field
Model win chances. Win is the share of 10,000 simulated nights in which the player finished first.
How this works
Proj PRA is the model's expected points + rebounds + assists. In Win, a tie for first counts as a split. Top 3 is the share of nights in which the player finished in the top three, which matters on Three Kings nights. Q marks a questionable / day-to-day player: the model gives them a 70% chance to play, and Proj PRA assumes they play. Out players are left off. The prediction refreshes about every two hours until the first tip-off, then locks; that locked version is the one graded on the Model page. Click Win, Top 3, Pick % or Value to sort; # stays the model's rank by win chance.